Frequently, stocks demonstrate periods of sideways movement, trading without a clear directional bias. Take the case of a technology stock, LTTS, analyzed through its weekly charts. Over the past few months, the stock has maintained a sideways trajectory, forming minor higher bottoms while encountering resistance near its previous high of 5844 from January 2022. Despite this, the stock has shown a consistent consolidation pattern, with its upper boundary currently being tested.
The question arises: could a breakout be imminent? The answer lies in the interpretation of technical indicators. Notably, the RSI, a leading indicator, has recently hit a 14-period high, coupled with a bullish divergence—where RSI has outperformed price movement. Another significant indicator, OBV (On-Balance Volume), indicates strong accumulation within the consolidation range, suggesting a potential upside breakout.
Further bolstering the case, the stock has transitioned into the leading quadrant of the Relative Rotation Graph (RRG). This shift implies improved Relative Strength and Relative Momentum compared to the broader NIFTY500 Index. Considering these indicators collectively, the likelihood of the ongoing consolidation pattern resolving with an upward move gains traction.
However, it’s prudent to remember the importance of price-action confirmation. While indicators offer insights, entering a position only upon an actual price breakout remains the safest approach. Nevertheless, employing these technical tools judiciously aids in optimizing entry points and identifying potential trends at an earlier stage. This perspective underlines the informed assessment of indicators as a means to enhance decision-making while recognizing that the final validation lies in market behavior.
Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341